Salah’s Shot at History: Can the Egyptian King Still Break Premier League Records?
After a stunning start to the season, Liverpool’s talisman has hit a wall — but with two games left, he’s still within touching distance of greatness.
The Dream Season… Delayed?
Two months ago, Mohamed Salah was rewriting Premier League history in real time. Now, he’s one game away from finishing just short.
On 8 March, after a clinical brace against Southampton, Mohamed Salah had reached 27 goals and 17 assists in just 29 league games — a level of output never before seen in the Premier League era.
At that pace, he was set to obliterate the all-time record of 47 goal involvements in a single season — held jointly by Alan Shearer (1994/95) and Andy Cole (1993/94). He was also on track to beat the 20-assist record held by Thierry Henry and Kevin De Bruyne.
Then… silence.
In the seven matches since, Salah has recorded just one goal and one assist. With only two games left, he’s sitting at 46 goal involvements — on the verge, yet not quite there.
What Happened? A Deep Dive into Salah’s Sudden Slowdown
From clinical finisher to misfiring forward: the numbers paint a clear picture of what’s changed.
❌ Finishing Has Faltered
Earlier this season, Salah was scoring almost one goal per game. In recent weeks, he’s barely found the net.
Metric | MW 1–29 | MW 30–36 |
---|---|---|
Goals per 90 | 0.94 | 0.14 |
Shots on Target per 90 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
Expected Goals (xG) | 0.77 | 0.29 |
Big-Chance Conversion | 58.3% | 0% |
The most telling stat? xGOT (Expected Goals on Target) — which measures how dangerous a shot is after it’s struck — dropped from 0.95 to just 0.05. Salah isn’t just missing more; his shots are less threatening in every sense.
🙅♂️ Assists Drying Up? Not Quite.
Salah’s creative play has actually remained consistent — but the finishing touch from teammates has disappeared.
Metric | MW 1–29 | MW 30–36 |
---|---|---|
Assists per 90 | 0.59 | 0.14 |
Big Chances Created | 0.73 | 0.72 |
xA (Expected Assists) per 90 | 0.25 | 0.23 |
What’s changed? The conversion rate of the chances he creates has collapsed — from 25% to just 6%. Salah continues to create, but teammates aren’t capitalising.
The Tactical Shift: Salah’s Heat Maps Reveal a Subtle Change
With the title already wrapped up, Liverpool’s attacking urgency has dipped — and Salah has been drifting deeper.
Possession has increased slightly (from 57% to nearly 60%), while pressing in the final third has dropped. That means fewer quick turnovers, fewer counter-attacks, and fewer chances for Salah to attack space.
His heat maps show he’s operating deeper and wider, involved more in the buildup than the finishing touch.
The Final Push: Brighton and Palace Stand in His Way
If there’s one opponent Salah would choose for this record chase, it’s probably Brighton.
He’s notched 10 goals and six assists in 15 Premier League appearances against the Seagulls. And with their expansive style under Fabian Hürzeler, there’s a real chance for an end-to-end shootout today at the Amex.
Failing that, a final-day home match at Anfield — with the Kop behind him — could be the stage where Salah seals his legacy.
Salah leaving it late in bid to break TWO Premier League records
Will We Witness History?
Even if Salah falls just short of the goal-involvements record, his 2024/25 campaign remains a statistical marvel.
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28 goals, 18 assists (so far)
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0.59 assists per game from 0.25 xA — showing elite-level creation and overperformance
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A stretch of dominance (MW 1–29) few players in Premier League history can match
If Salah delivers two more moments of magic in the next 180 minutes, he’ll officially own the greatest individual season in Premier League history.
🗓️ Up Next: Brighton vs. Liverpool
📍 Amex Stadium, Monday 19 May, 12:00 BST
⚽ Salah’s Current Stats: 28 Goals + 18 Assists
🎯 Target: Break 47 goal involvements record
Final Word
Form may be temporary — but greatness is permanent. Mohamed Salah has already cemented his legacy as one of the Premier League’s finest. The question now is whether he’ll cap it off with the most iconic stat line in league history.
Also Read: Cristiano Ronaldo Jr. Earns First Portugal U-15 Call-Up: A New Chapter
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